The Cost of Policy Inaction (COPI): The Baseline Scenario
The Baseline assumes that many aspects of today’s world remain the same – not frozen in time, but evolving along the same lines as today. The Baseline shows a stabilisation of the world population at around 9.1 billion inhabitants by 2050. The Baseline trends combine to produce a modest, but uniformly positive growth in real Global Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of 2.8% per year between 2005 and 2050. Although the modelling for this study is more nuanced than assuming a fixed relation between GDP and pressures on biodiversity, the uncertainty in the baseline leans to the side of more pressures on biodiversity. Final energy consumption increases from 280 EJ in 2000 to 470 EJ in 2030, and ca 600 EJ in 2050.
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- Relatórios, Estudos, Avaliações de Biodiversidade, Linhas de Base
- Uso Sustentável da Biodiversidade
- Nenhuma / Não aplicável